Natural Gas Supply

Gas Glut Reverses Lucrative 2016 Trade

A flood of natural gas swamping the U.S. is turning into a global glut, sinking prices and dimming the hopes of American producers to export their way out of an oversupplied domestic market. Natural-gas futures have fallen 25% over the past 2½ months. The declines continued Tuesday, with April futures dropping 3.45% to $2.938 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Shares of gas-production companies are…

Natural Gas Prices Could Plunge Below $2

So far this year, natural gas has performed the worst among major commodities, posting painful losses in January and February. It has rebounded somewhat in the last few weeks, but hovering around $3 per MMBtu, gas prices are still sharply lower compared to the fourth quarter. Changes in seasonal temperatures are a pivotal factor for natural gas markets, and warmer winters mean weaker demand. Natural gas consumption spikes during winter months as millions of people crank up the heat, while consumption patterns descend into valleys in the spring and fall, with a smaller peak in the summer. A bout of warm weather during winter can upend gas demand forecasts. And that is exactly what happened this year. According to NOAA, the U.S. just posted its second warmest February on record, dating back to when data collection began in the 19th century. Average temperatures were 7.3 degrees higher than average. […]

Drilling Boom in Hottest US Oil Play Is Bad News for Gas Bulls

A drilling surge in America’s hottest oil play may prove to be a pitfall for natural gas bulls. As explorers extract crude from the Permian shale in West Texas, they’re also producing gas. A jump in the number of rigs operating in the basin is adding to the so-called fracklog, or the number of drilled wells that are waiting to be connected. That’s a sign that gas output from the region will jump by about 25 percent over the next year, threatening to send prices below $2 per million British thermal units, according to Tudor Pickering Holt & Co. Gas is already this year’s worst performer among major commodities, and the prospect of a torrent of supply from the Permian means 2018 may not be much brighter for gas bulls. Output from the basin would augment production from the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, which […]

Warm weather leads to first recorded natural gas storage injection in February

Warmer than normal weather throughout much of the United States resulted in the first recorded net natural gas injection during a week in February since weekly storage data has been collected. For the week ending February 24, the amount of natural gas in storage in the Lower 48 states increased 7 billion cubic feet (Bcf). While some weeks during March in previous years had recorded injections, net injections of natural gas into storage do not typically occur until at least April. Weekly changes in natural gas storage reflect changes in natural gas consumption, production, and, to a lesser extent, trade. Natural gas consumption is particularly sensitive to fluctuations in weather. Not only is natural gas consumed directly by furnaces and boilers in homes and businesses for heating, but natural gas […]

Oil Major BP Buys Boone Pickens’ Clean Energy Assets

BP is investing $155 million in production facilities for Clean Energy Fuels Corp.’s Redeem-branded renewable natural gas. The deal supports both companies’ role in the future of RNG, or biomethane, for fleets and transport companies to hit emissions regulation targets and to help fulfill growing fuel demand in the natural gas vehicle market. BP is paying for Clean Energy’s existing biomethane production facilities, its share of two new facilities, and its existing third party supply contracts for RNG. The oil company will continue to subcontract the operations of these facilities to Clean Energy. Clean Energy will buy RNG from BP and collect royalties on gas purchased from BP and sold as Redeem fuel at it stations. Clean Energy will have access through a long-term supply contract with BP. Clean Energy will be able to expand its Redeem customer base at its North American network of natural gas fueling stations. […]

US natgas output seen up in 2017, but still below 2015 record: EIA

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Tuesday projected dry natural gas production would rise in 2017 after falling in 2016, while gas consumption would decline in 2017 after rising to a record high last year. EIA projected production would rise to 73.69 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2017 from 72.31 bcfd in 2016, according to its Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) in March. That 2017 output projection is the same as EIA made in its February STEO report and falls short of the record high 74.14 bcfd produced on average in 2015. Annual production declined in 2016 for the first time since 2005 as low energy prices reduced drilling activity . EIA also projected U.S. gas consumption would fall to 73.65 bcfd in 2017 from a record […]

Iran vs Russia: The Next Natural Gas War

Not everybody attending the Iranian natural gas summit last week in Frankfurt was there for the same reason. While most were gauging the prospects for an opening of major natural gas reserves and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export prospects, others were there for quite different reasons. Take the three representatives from Russia’s gas giant Gazprom (OGZPY), for example. They weren’t there to scout new investment packages. On the contrary… They were there to see just how badly their company’s position was under siege. And it’s no wonder the Gazprom guys looked concerned. From what I saw at the summit, they have every reason to be. For energy investors, on the other hand, the news is very good… Gazprom is in Dire Straits Gazprom may still be the largest natural gas company on the face of the Earth, exporting more gas than anybody else and providing revenues that account for […]

Gazprom Says Europe’s Appetite for Gas Keeps Getting Bigger

Europe’s appetite for natural gas is leading to a growth “renaissance” as its stores of the fuel languish at the lowest levels since 2013, according to Gazprom PJSC. Europe’s appetite for natural gas will probably meet or even exceed last year’s growth as the region needs to replenish its lowest gas storage levels since 2013, according to Gazprom PJSC. A “conservative estimate” by the world’s biggest exporter is that Europe’s demand may increase by about 5 percent this year, Deputy Chief Executive Officer Alexander Medvedev said Thursday in an interview in Hong Kong. The state-run company, which supplied record volumes to Europe last year and met more than a third of consumption, sees its 2017 shipments of “no less than in 2016,” he said. The European Union’s gas demand increased in 2015 after four years of declines. After the coldest January in seven years and plunging output at domestic […]

Natural Gas Prices Fall To 3 Month Lows On Disappointing Inventory Draw

Natural gas has fallen to a new three-month low thanks to lower-than-expected draws on storage, prompting the Wall Street Journal to report that the coming months may see bearish oversupply. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported yesterday that natural gas in storage in the country fell by 2.445 trillion cu ft in the week to February 10, down by 114 billion cu ft from the previous week and at the lowest for the last three months. Analysts polled by S&P Platts had a consensus forecast for a draw of 126 billion cu ft , citing the unusually warm weather across most of the country. A Reuters survey expected storage to be down by 104-137 Bcf. The draw was smaller than in the preceding week, when it stood at 152 billion cu ft, Investor.com recalls, and also smaller than the decline a year earlier, when it was 163 billion cu […]

Pipeline Approvals Could Put A Ceiling On Gas Prices

Two new pipelines to be built over the next 12-18 months are likely to bring down natural gas prices on the U.S. market just when they were starting to rise more consistently. While this is good news for consumers, it is not so welcomed news for producers, who might have to start thinking about finding new markets. The pipelines in question are Atlantic Sunrise , a project of Williams Partners, and Energy Transfer Partners’ Rover . The two got the greenlight from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission last week and became cause for celebration for producers in the Utica and Marcellus shale plays, who have been forced by low prices and lack of governmental support to sell their gas at a solid discount to the national benchmark Henry Hub. Of course, Energy Transfer Partners and Williams Partners will also take part in the celebrations, as would power utilities as […]

Speculators cut U.S. natgas net longs for second straight week: CFTC

U.S. natural gas speculators cut their net long positions for a second week in a row on forecasts that the weather will moderate for most of the rest of the winter. Speculators in four major NYMEX and ICE markets reduced their bullish bets by 11,699 contracts to 314,396 in the week to Jan. 31, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission said on Friday. That compares with a five-year (2012-16) average speculative net long position of around 127,300 contracts. The biggest net long position was 456,475 contracts in April 2013, while the biggest net short position was 166,165 contracts in November 2015, according to Reuters data. Gas futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange averaged $3.29 per million British thermal units during the five trading days ended Jan. 31, versus $3.28 during the five trading days ended Jan. 24. The latest long-term forecasts call for warmer-than-normal temperatures through the end […]

Natural Gas Prices Rise After Storage Levels Remain Low

Natural gas prices climbed Thursday after weekly data showed natural gas storage levels remained low despite mild weather. Natural gas for February delivery gained 5 cents, or 1.5%, to settle at $3.382 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices pulled back from gains in earlier trading when natural gas rose…

Gazprom’s Medvedev dismisses role of US LNG in European natural gas market

25 Jan 2017   LNG, Russia

Russia is the gas supplier of choice for European markets and will remain the most cost-effective and reliable source of gas in Europe, Alexander Medvedev, Gazprom’s deputy CEO, said Tuesday. Speaking at the European Gas Conference in Vienna, Medvedev said US LNG had been a “big hope” for Europe, but that the record flows of Russian gas to Europe in 2016 — almost 180 Bcm — were evidence of Russia’s position as the leading gas supplier to its European partners. “Russia is the only gas supplier that can reliably and flexibly supply gas in any amount. We can supply whatever Europe wants — we have the capacity to supply an additional 150 Bcm/year,” he said. In an apparent reference to US LNG exports starting up in February last year, Medvedev said Europe had chosen Russian gas despite there being newer supply options. “Our clients have a variety of diversification […]

Why Cheap Natural Gas Is History

Natural gas prices averaged a little more than $2.50 per mmBtu (million British Thermal Units) in 2016. Those days are over. Prices will average at least $3.50 to $4.00 in 2017. Prices have more than doubled since March 2016 but gas is still under-valued. Supply is tight because demand and exports have grown and shale gas production has declined. In April of last year, I wrote that natural gas prices should double and they did. Henry Hub spot prices increased 2 1/2 times from $1.49 to $3.70 per mmBtu and NYMEX futures prices doubled from $1.64 to $3.30 per (Figure 1). (Click to enlarge) Figure 1. Natural Gas Prices Have More Than Doubled Since March 2016: The Days of $2.50 Gas Are Gone. Source: EIA and Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. Nevertheless, gas prices are still too low. Storage was at record high levels throughout 2016 reaching 4.1 Bcf (billion […]

U.S. gas market has eliminated storage surplus despite warm winter:

The U.S. gas market has tightened significantly over the last nine months as low prices have spurred strong consumption and exports while slashing drilling of new wells. The market has rebalanced despite an unusually mild winter so far, which points to the degree of underlying tightness and suggests prices will need to remain higher in 2017 than they were in 2016 to avoid a shortage. At the half-way point in the current winter heating season, working gas stocks in underground storage are 77 billion cubic feet (3 percent) below the five-year average. At the same point last year, stocks were 473 billion cubic feet (17 percent) above average, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The storage surplus continued growing until it peaked at 874 billion cubic feet (54 percent) at the start of April 2016 ( tmsnrt.rs/2jGzkGy ). Since then, however, the surplus has shrunk thanks to a […]

Natural Gas Flips to Gains After Stockpile Data

Natural gas prices rose Thursday, flipping up from losses after data showed a larger-than-expected drain from storage last week. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said natural-gas stockpiles shrank by 243 billion cubic feet in the week ended Friday. Analysts and traders surveyed by The Wall Street Journal forecast a drain of just 229 bcf and the five-year average for this week of the year is just 170 bcf. The report…

Cruise Line Exec: LNG Represents the Future

12 Jan 2017   LNG

Carnival opting for LNG instead of marine diesel oil. As this series on natural gas utilization has shown, initiatives to develop new markets for abundant natural gas supplies are prompting significant changes within the realms of power generation and transportation . In some cases, the effects of these changes will be evident to end users. For instance, residents of communities previously isolated from the natural gas grid may soon notice new pipeline infrastructure or shallow-draft liquefied natural gas (LNG)-laden ships and barges. Also, employees of organizations switching to natural gas-powered vehicle fleets likely will detect some minor differences in how they refuel cars, trucks and buses with compressed natural gas or LNG compared to gasoline or diesel. A major player in one high-profile industry recently unveiled plans to begin switching to natural gas, but its customers likely won’t notice a difference – and that’s fine with the company devoting […]

EIA sees natural gas production up nearly 4% a year to 2020

The US Energy Information Administration’s Annual Energy Outlook 2017 is projecting growth in natural gas production from now until 2050, and sees gas exports helping drive the US to switch to being a net energy exporter by 2026. Gas production “is actually going to go up quite a bit, with relatively low and stable prices,” supporting higher levels of domestic consumption, especially in the electric and industrial sectors, EIA Administrator Adam Sieminski said in a briefing on the annual report Thursday. EIA’s outlook examined eight cases in making projections for energy markets, this year extending those out to 2050. It looked at a reference case that assumes current regulation and central views of economic forecasters, as well as some improvement in known technologies. It also examined cases that assumed low and high economic growth, low and high oil prices, low and high oil and gas resource and technology, and […]

Gas Producers Fall Even as Gas Prices Rise

Fear and trembling over the return of oversupply in natural gas The new year started off terribly for one of 2016’s best-performing commodities, reinforcing fears that have lingered over the market for months. Natural gas lost nearly 10% in one day, its worst in nearly three years. It was a rare downer for gas. The commodity had doubled in price since March and finished 2016 up […]

US natural gas market feels the heat from mild January outlook

The prospect of a mild January has throttled the US natural gas market, pushing benchmark prices down in the biggest daily decline in almost two years.  The 10.7 per cent fall in Nymex February gas futures, to $3.327 per million British thermal units on Tuesday, reversed a furious rally in gas futures that began in November. The uses of natural gas include power generation, manufacturing and fertiliser, but demand typically peaks during the winter heating season.

Investors had flocked to gas futures amid sub-zero temperatures in cities such as Chicago and Minneapolis last month. As of late December, hedge funds held record net bullish positions on gas contracts listed at the New York Mercantile Exchange and Intercontinental Exchange.  While more chilly weather is expected this week, gas prices dropped “as the temperature outlook has turned noticeably warmer than a few days ago”, said Tim Evans, energy analyst at Citigroup. Government forecasters say above-normal temperatures could extend across much of the country into the second half of January, typically the coldest month of the year.

Freezing Winter Sees Natural Gas Prices Surge

Natural gas prices are surging as cold weather eats into U.S. inventories, tightening the market much more quickly than many analysts had expected. The blast of Arctic weather in December put a strain on natural gas markets, with millions of people cranking up the heat to keep warm. The EIA reported a surprise drop in storage levels in the week ending on December 16, falling by 209 billion cubic feet. That decline puts total storage levels at 3,597 Bcf, or just a small 78 Bcf above the five-year average. (Click to enlarge) Such a scenario was difficult to imagine earlier this year, when the U.S. was emerging from peak winter demand season with record levels of gas sitting in storage. Flush with supply, prices crashed below $2/MMBtu. But natural gas production suddenly started to fall after years of blistering growth, upending forecasts calling for years of oversupply. Meanwhile, demand […]

US LNG makes negligible impact on European gas market

27 Dec 2016   Europe, LNG

The startup in February this year of US LNG exports based on cheap American shale gas had been expected to see a good proportion of cargoes heading across the Atlantic to Europe given the relatively short shipping route and Europe’s massively underused LNG import capacity. But with European gas prices staying stubbornly low for most of the year and the margins for US LNG having been largely eroded due to the slump in global LNG prices, in the end only a handful of cargoes ended up in Europe. As 2016 nears its end, more than 50 cargoes have left the Cheniere Energy-operated Sabine Pass terminal in the Gulf of Mexico for international markets. But of those cargoes, just three landed in mainland Europe — one in Portugal, one in Spain and one in Italy — while another two shipments were made to Turkey. According to industry sources, the two […]

Finding Work For The World’s Largest LNG Ship

26 Dec 2016   LNG

It is not just individual investors that are having to be patient and bide their time waiting for energy sector investments to pay off. Many corporations are making long term bets in the energy sector, and those bets are taking a while to show their value as well. Take one recent investment from Mitsui O.S.K. Lines – a massive $400 million floating liquefied natural gas factory. The enormous ship is different than most LNG tankers in that it not only carries LNG, but also turns it back into gaseous fuel avoiding the need for an expensive on-land terminal. The vessel is termed a floating storage regasification unit or FRSU. In other words, the ship is a complete end to end fuel delivery system. Mitsui’s ship is also enormous. It is more than 900 feet long – longer than 3 football fields – and it can store enough LNG to […]

Shale Gas Is Back With This $2 Billion Acquisition

24 Dec 2016   Shale Gas

A nearly $2 billion natural gas deal could signal a sign that companies are interested in gas drilling again after a long downturn. Gulfport Energy announced plans to issue new shares in order to finance a $1.85 billion acquisition of acreage in Oklahoma’s SCOOP basin. The SCOOP has emerged as arguably the next most exciting shale play, with acreage still largely undeveloped. The Marcellus and Utica Shales in Pennsylvania and Ohio have been home to the bulk of the shale gas revolution, although Oklahoma has seen years of shale gas drilling as well. Now with the Marcellus having been poked with tens of thousands of wells, natural gas drillers are moving on to greener pastures. The rig count outside of the handful of major shale basins is now at its highest level in almost a year. Adding fuel to the fire is the recent rise in natural gas prices, […]

Chesapeake says it’s ready for recovery after big divestments

21 Dec 2016   Shale Gas, USA

Struggling shale company Chesapeake Energy said Tuesday it was anticipating a recovery next year after releasing a good portion of its non-core gas assets. The company said it sold another portion of its holdings in the Haynesville shale basin in Louisiana to rival Covey Park energy LLC for about $465 million. Doug Lawler, the company’s CEO, said total sales of Haynesville acreage so far have totaled almost $1 billion. “We will continue to pursue opportunities to strengthen our balance sheet in 2017,” he said in a statement . The company, which has headquarters in Oklahoma, in early February retained the services of longtime counsel Kirkland & Ellis to help manage debt and strengthen its balance sheet , targeting a 57 percent reduction in spending from 2015. In August, the company left the Barnett shale basin in Texas and earlier this month sold off […]

Southern California Gas urges customers to cut natural gas use

Southern California Gas Co (SoCalGas) has urged customers to reduce natural gas use to help lower the risk of possible gas and electricity shortages due to what it described as severe cold weather throughout the U.S. Southwest. The notice, issued Sunday night, came as the utility continues to have only limited access to fuel in its giant Aliso Canyon gas storage facility in Los Angeles following a massive methane leak between October 2015-February 2016. “We did not pull any gas out of Aliso, but we had to draw significantly on other fields to maintain system reliability,” SoCalGas spokesman Chris Gilbride said on Monday. In addition to residential customers, SoCalGas, a unit of California energy company Sempra Energy, told non-core customers, including refineries and power plants, that they may receive a notice to curtail service. The independent system operator, which runs the power grid for much of the state, has […]

U.S. natural gas production resilient to market changes in 2015, but has fallen in 2016

17 Dec 2016   Shale Gas

U.S. dry natural gas production continued to increase in 2015, reaching 74.1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d). This record-high level was a 4.5% (3.2 Bcf/d) increase over 2014, according to EIA’s Natural Gas Annual , which provides final production data for 2015. The increase in 2015 production levels marked the tenth straight annual increase, with the most recent increase occurring despite natural gas prices at the Louisiana Henry Hub declining more than 40% from an average of $4.55 per million British thermal unit (MMBtu) in 2014 to $2.62/MMBtu in 2015. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Production gains were highest in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia, due in large part to production from the Marcellus and Utica/Point Pleasant shales. These three states accounted for most of the total increase in 2015. Although annual production in 2015 grew, monthly U.S. natural gas […]

$2 Billion Gulfport Buy Shows Drillers Thirsting for Next Play

16 Dec 2016   Shale Gas, USA

America’s shale gas drillers are back to looking for the next big play. On Wednesday, Gulfport Energy Corp. struck a deal to buy acreage in an oil and natural gas field in Oklahoma known as Scoop for $1.85 billion, marking its first foray in a region that Newfield Exploration Co. has devoted most of its capital budget to and Devon Energy Corp. invested almost $2 billion in late last year. Gulfport Chief Executive Officer Michael Moore described the acreage as a “sizeable and scalable footprint in a new operating area.” The deal underscores renewed interest among drillers in exploring emerging plays outside the heart of the U.S. shale gas boom — the Marcellus formation of the Appalachian Basin. The number of rigs drilling outside major basins has rebounded to the highest levels since February […]

Chesapeake Energy Drills Deeper for Profit

16 Dec 2016   Shale Gas

Chesapeake Energy is drilling a massive well in the Haynesville shale outside Shreveport, La., Doug Lawler watched a drilling rig’s high-pressure pumps rumble as workers bored in to a massive natural-gas well, part of a new drilling campaign the Chesapeake Energy Corp. chief executive calls “Prop-a-geddon.” Named for the sand that drillers use to prop open hydraulically fractured rocks, Prop-a-geddon is an experiment to create supersize oil and gas wells that the company estimates can extract fossil fuels for roughly 75% less than typical wells, thanks to potentially greater economies of scale. This well, in the Haynesville Shale formation around Shreveport, La., went 2 miles deep and another 2 miles horizontally, and used 51 million pounds of sand, which the company believes is a world record. Typical wells in this area extend about 5,000 feet, or less than a mile. “It’s the biggest job in the […]

Pennsylvania levels $3.5 million fine against gas driller

8 Dec 2016   Shale Gas

 Pennsylvania environmental regulators have fined a natural-gas driller more than $3.5 million for violations at 10 well sites and six pipeline locations. The Department of Environmental Protection said Wednesday that subsidiaries of Rice Energy Inc. operated an unpermitted wastewater impoundment that leaked, improperly constructed wells, violated rules for erosion and sediment control, failed to obtain permits and committed other infractions. Regulators say the violations took place over several years at sites in Washington and Greene counties, in western Pennsylvania. Canonsburg-based Rice has already paid the fines. DEP has entered into several agreements with Rice and says the company has either fixed or is scheduled to fix the problems at its wells and pipelines. A Rice Energy spokeswoman did not immediately return a call for comment.

Louisiana LNG Export Project Clears DOE Hurdle

2 Dec 2016   LNG

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) on Thursday granted authorization for a proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in Lake Charles, La., to export LNG to countries with which the United States has not entered into a free trade agreement (non-FTA approval). “Our Magnolia project team is very pleased to have successfully received this final piece of the regulatory framework enabling our Magnolia LNG project to export U.S.-produced natural gas to the global energy market,” stated Greg Vesey, managing director and CEO of project developer Liquefied Natural Gas Limited (LNGL), in a press release announcing DOE’s non-FTA approval. LNGL’s Magnolia LNG, LLC is developing a four-train LNG export terminal at the Port of Lake Charles that will be capable of producing at least 8 million tonnes per annum of LNG using the company’s proprietary OSMR process technology. KBR is leading a joint-venture team with SKE&C that is conducting engineering, […]

More LNG exports possible from U.S. ports

1 Dec 2016   LNG

Sempra Energy said it filed the necessary paperwork to hasten the development of a port in Texas that could export liquefied natural gas, seen as a strategic asset. Sempra, which has its headquarters in San Diego, filed applications with the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission for exports and construction of the proposed Port Arthur LNG plant in southeast Texas. “Our experience in developing, building and operating energy infrastructure will help us deliver a cost-competitive project to the global LNG market,” Octavio Simoes, the president of Sempra’s LNG and pipeline unit, said in a statement. The project calls for everything from storage tanks to refrigerants and marine loading facilities at the proposed Texas plant. A potential site […]

OPEC Deal Is Bad News for U.S. Gas and Good News for LNG

1 Dec 2016   LNG

OPEC’s decision to shrink oil production is both a blessing and a curse for natural gas markets. It’s bad news for the U.S. gas bulls enjoying a rally that has propelled prices to the highest in two years. Crude explorers have more incentive to drill with oil futures surging on the promised cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. And with every barrel of oil they pull out of the ground, they’ll inevitably pull out gas, a byproduct that threatens to add to a U.S. supply glut that’s already hit a record. “These guys will drill more, and you are going to get that extra gas at an inconvenient time,” said Jason Schenker, president of Prestige Economics LLC in Austin, Texas. “It’s bearish for U.S. gas for the next three- to nine-month window.” While the potential flood of so-called associated gas threatens to derail the rally in U.S. […]

New Milestone: The U.S. Is Now a Net Exporter of Natural Gas

Two contractors talk on a natural gas drilling rig in Keene, Texas. In November—as well… The U.S. has become a net exporter of natural gas, further evidence of the how the domestic oil and gas boom is reshaping the global energy business. The U.S. has exported an average of 7.4 billion cubic feet a day of gas in November, more than the 7 billion cubic feet a day it has imported, according to S&P Global Platts, an energy trade publisher and data provider. Exports also topped imports for a few days in September, Platts reported. It has been nearly 60 years since the U.S. last shipped out more natural gas than it brought in annually, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The milestone comes less than a year after restrictions on most crude oil exports were lifted , allowing tankers of crude to be freely shipped overseas for […]

IEA: The Only Way Is Up For Natural Gas

Lower demand for coal will make natural gas an increasingly important fuel The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its annual World Energy Outlook Wednesday, saying natural gas will play an increasingly important role in the mix of global fuels through to 2040. Renewables will also play a leading role moving forward, but to what extent will depend on how countries implement the Paris Climate Agreement, which President-Elect Donald Trump has threatened to pull out of following his inauguration. Regardless of the uncertainty around renewable energy and the Paris Agreement, natural gas will likely see major gains, said IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. “Given the economics natural gas can provide for the energy system, whatever policy we have, natural gas always comes out one of the big winners,” Birol said. “We see clear winners for the next 25 years – natural gas but especially wind and solar – replacing the […]

U.S. LNG Is Changing The Global Gas Game

22 Nov 2016   LNG

In the emotion-laden aftermath of the U.S. presidential elections, the focus of all energy attention seems to be exclusively on crude oil and domestic production. Specifically, on whether energy independence is at all possible and whether cutting Saudi Arabia out of the importers’ list is a wise move or exactly the opposite. While some grieved and others rejoiced, Cheniere Energy, which launched its first export-bound LNG tanker this spring, continued to export liquefied gas. Those who follow the LNG market duly noted that exports from the Sabine Pass terminal are growing, but it took the IEA and its latest World Energy Outlook , released last week, to cause the media to stand up and take notice. The IEA said in its forecast that U.S. LNG will enable the United States to turn from a net importer of gas into a net exporter, with all the consequences stemming from it, […]

NREL sees natural gas, renewables gaining US market share

18 Nov 2016   Renewables, Shale Gas

Natural gas-fired and renewable resources are expected to enjoy growing generation mix shares over the next three decades, driven by low-cost gas and renewable energy cost declines and performance improvements, according to analysis by the US Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory. The report released Wednesday — the 2016 Standard Scenarios: A US Electricity Sector Outlook — aims to identify a range of possible futures for the US electricity sector. The emergence of low-cost gas has driven major changes in the power sector, with the annual average capacity factor for combined-cycle generators jumping from 35% in 2005 to over 56% in 2015 at the expense of coal-fired generation, the report said. NREL expects gas prices to remain generally low. “Despite increases in commodity prices, including natural gas prices, in mid-2016, the outlook for continued low-priced natural gas looks firm, given the currently high levels of underground storage and […]

Trump Could Send A Shockwave Through Natural Gas Markets

The value of any commodity is based on its supply and the demand in the market. If one of them is disrupted, it affects prices. Natural gas has been a major beneficiary of the exploration boom in crude oil and the government’s push to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the world. Natural gas marketed production has increased every year since 2005, however, for the first time in more than a decade, annual average production will decline this year by 1.4 Bcf/d from 2015 levels, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Short-Term Energy Outlook report of November 8. For 2017, the report forecasts that production will rise by 2.9 Bcf/d from the 2016 level. Hence, with additional supply to hit the markets in 2017, the demand has to increase incrementally to support prices. However, the policies of the new President-elect Donald Trump are likely to alter both […]

US natural gas storage increases 30 Bcf to 4.047 Tcf: EIA

US natural gas in storage increased 30 Bcf to 4.047 Tcf in the week ended November 11, the US Energy Information Administration reported Thursday, breaking the previous all-time high of 4.017 Tcf set the prior week. The net injection was exactly in line with a S&P Global Platts survey of analysts expecting a 30-Bcf injection. In the corresponding week last year the EIA reported a 26-Bcf injection, while the five-year average is a 3-Bcf build. This was the first build of the 2016 injection season that was larger than both the corresponding week last year and the five-year average. As a result, stocks were 51 Bcf, or 1.3%, higher than the year-ago level of 3.996 Tcf, and 216 Bcf, or 5.6%, more than the five-year average of 3.831 Tcf. The NYMEX December natural gas futures contract fell 7 cents following the announcement to $2.694/MMBtu as of 10:45 am EST […]

Amount of natural gas in storage reaches new record

Working natural gas in storage reached a record high of 4,017 billion cubic feet (Bcf) as of November 4, according to EIA’s latest Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report . Inventories have been relatively high throughout the year, surpassing previous five-year highs in 48 of the past 52 weeks. Declining natural gas production and strong demand from the power sector were offset by a warmer-than-usual winter, which left natural gas inventories in April (the beginning of the 2016 injection season) above the previous five-year maximum. The injection season for natural gas storage typically runs from April through October, although net natural gas injections sometimes continue for several weeks during November. In fact, the previous record for natural gas storage was set at 4,009 Bcf for the week ending November 20, 2015. This year, natural gas inventories have been relatively high […]

Is The U.S. Set To Become An LNG Powerhouse

17 Nov 2016   LNG

The LNG industry has been turned on its head by forces that could not been foreseen just few years ago. Continuous drop in demand for gas in Asian markets (down by 2 percent in 2015), excess supply from Australia and the United States, new pricing and a contractual framework have fundamentally changed the long-established LNG business model. Yet, in 2015 LNG global trade reached 250 million tonnes per annum (MTPA), making it a market worth more than $120 billion. Natural gas trade grew at 2.6 percent annually between 2000 and 2015, reflecting the overall trend of rising global demand for lower carbon energy. Today, these contradictions make the LNG business both unpredictable and full of uncertainties. A key question is how does U.S. LNG fit into this new global market? EIA forecasts that American producers will play a larger […]

Chevron’s $54B Gorgon Nat Gas Plant Shut Down Again

Shell LNG Chevron’s $54-billion Gorgon liquefied natural gas plant in Australia was shut down for a third time since it launched in March, with sources telling news agencies that the downtime delayed shipments but did not cause any cancellations. The shutdown was unplanned and caused by work on the facility’s acid removal unit, according to sources cited by Reuters, and was due to be put back online days later. However, with Chevron unresponsive to reporters’ inquiries, it remained unclear at the time of writing whether Gorgon was back up or remained offline. The project’s acid removal unit also made the news in June, when it was thought to have been the cause of a long shutdown following a gas leak. According to traders cited by Reuters, the latest shutdown did not lead to any cancellations of shipments, but has caused delays of five cargoes, which apparently helped to boost […]

Growing LNG supply glut redefining global flows, long-term contracts: PIRA

11 Nov 2016   LNG

Global flows of liquefied natural gas (LNG) are set to change as the growth in a supply glut will peak in 2018 because of new production from Australia and the United States, energy consultancy PIRA Energy Group said. The growth in Australian and U.S. LNG supplies means traditional trade flows such as Qatari exports to Asia could end up being diverted to other destinations, PIRA Energy’s head of global gas and power, Ira Joseph said in an interview. Mega projects such as Inpex’s 8.9 million tonnes a year (mtpa) Ichthys LNG plant in Australia will directly add to regional supplies. The project is scheduled to commence first production next September. Following the expansion in Australian production, a second phase of growth in 2018 will come from new U.S. LNG production that totals around 27 mtpa. “The Asian market is going to be long relative to the Atlantic basin market […]

Judge issues temporary stay of some Pennsylvania drilling rules

11 Nov 2016   Shale Gas

In a ruling in a lawsuit brought by the Marcellus Shale Coalition, a Pennsylvania judge on Tuesday ordered the temporary stay of several key provisions of a set of natural gas drilling regulations recently promulgated by the state’s Department of Environmental Protection. In an order handed down in the Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania, Judge Kevin Brobson issued a preliminary injunction blocking the state from enforcing provisions of the rules pertaining to public resources, well permit reviews, wastewater impoundment and site restoration. However, the ruling denied the MSC’s request for an injunction to block other provisions of the regulations pertaining to onsite processing, the remediation of spills and waste reporting. The MSC filed the suit in October to block the implementation of seven provisions of Chapter 78a of the Pennsylvania Code. The rules, which regulate many aspects of unconventional gas drilling, took effect October 8. Article Continues below… Your source […]

President Trump: This Is How To Bring Back 1 Million Energy Jobs

11 Nov 2016   Shale Gas, USA

Dear President-Elect Trump, There’s work to be done. And I know you’re up for a challenge. In fact, I’m now sure of it. So let me lay out a policy position that I am truly hoping you will adopt as your own. I’m talking about natural gas as a transportation fuel: cheap, clean, abundant natural gas. And I’m talking about U.S. energy independence, balanced budgets, jobs, trade and the environment. We use natural gas for power generation and as a heating fuel but that’s an old story for a new reality. Fracking has unlocked a phenomenal amount of gas in the last decade. Our onshore wells are rivaling the reserves of the deep offshore giants. And we’re getting much more for much less these days. North America also has over 2 ½ million miles of pipeline with more coming on line plus distribution capabilities in every […]

EIA lowers short-term projections for US gas production, demand

The US Energy Information Administration on Tuesday lowered its projections for natural gas production for the current quarter and the next one, as well as for the full-year 2016, predicting the annual output average would show a decline for the first time since 2015, before rebounding in 2017. Lower projections for US gas demand accompanied the tempered production estimates. The agency’s November Short-Term Energy Outlook scaled back its gas production projections for the fourth quarter of 2016, first quarter of 2017, as well as the annual average this year and next. “US annual natural gas production is expected to decline in 2016 for the first time in 11 years, but then increase in 2017 as drilling activity picks up and new pipelines connect supplies to demand centers,” EIA Administrator Adam Sieminski said in a statement accompanying the outlook. Article Continues below… Platts US Election Webinar Nov. 11, 2016 • […]

U.S. gas production shows tentative signs of upturn: Kemp

2 Nov 2016   Shale Gas

U.S. natural gas production may be stabilising or even starting to rise as the boost to oil and gas prices in recent months stimulates an increase in new drilling. Marketed dry gas production amounted to 2,239 billion cubic feet in August, down from 2,302 bcf in August 2015, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration ( tmsnrt.rs/2e9e05u ). Gas production has been down year on year by an increasingly large percentage since March as the effect of low prices and a reduction in drilling filters through. Output in July was down by more than 4 percent compared with the same month a year earlier, according to EIA survey data. But production bucked the trend in August and was down by just 2.7 percent from a year earlier ( tmsnrt.rs/2e9k1z2 ). Extrapolating a trend from a single month’s data is risky especially when the series has a high level of […]

World’s Priciest Gas Is Bound for One U.S. Region This Winter

The global glut of natural gas still hasn’t reached one corner of the U.S. The heating fuel may surge to $20 to $25 per million British thermal units in New England this winter, the highest in the world, as pipeline bottlenecks limit supplies during frigid weather, traders including Consolidated Edison Inc.’s ConEdison Energy said. Prices have collapsed across the rest of the globe amid tepid demand growth, rising exports and a plunge in crude oil prices earlier this year. Competition for pipeline access into New England is poised to intensify as the power grid, already getting more than half of its supply from gas, becomes even more reliant on the fuel as coal-fired plants shut. Opposition from environmental and consumer groups threatens to delay and derail new lines, including a $3 billion Spectra Energy Corp. project. “New England remains pipeline constrained, so if bouts of very cold weather move […]

Gas industry challenges new drilling rules in Pennsylvania

15 Oct 2016   Shale Gas

The natural gas industry in Pennsylvania is challenging new state regulations that govern surface development of shale gas wells, saying they threaten jobs and investment by adding up to $2 million to the cost of drilling a well. Energy companies in the Marcellus Shale, the nation’s largest natural gas field, filed suit against the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and the state’s Environmental Quality Board over rules that took effect last week, calling them financially burdensome, vague and unlawful. “The provisions we are challenging impose immediate harm to our industry because they affect our ability to operate and remain competitive,” David Spigelmyer, president of the Marcellus Shale Coalition, said Friday in a conference call with reporters. The suit, filed Thursday, marks the first time the powerful trade group has taken the state to court over drilling rules. It seeks to block enforcement pending a ruling on their legality. Neil […]

Are Market Conditions For U.S. LNG Improving?

14 Oct 2016   LNG

As Cheniere Energy shuts down its LNG terminal at Sabine Pass for a month of repairs, it seems like a good time to take stock of the global LNG situation. With pundits and politicians increasingly pointing to LNG as proof of a new golden age in American energy production, it’s necessary to measure how those predictions may pan out. Since coming on-line in February, Cheniere’s facility at Sabine Pass has shipped 33 cargoes of LNG. In the first six months of 2016 total LNG exports totaled 63.5 billion cubic feet (bcf) against total U.S. imports of 53.1 bcf, according to Argus Media. An analysis found that those shipments ended up in diverse markets world-wide, with the conspicuous absence of East Asia, where the bulk of LNG demand is situated. The U.S. won’t easily find markets in Japan, China or South Korea (not to mention India, where LNG […]